Understanding Notional Value and How It Works
Understanding Notional Value and How It Works
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Thomas on Instagram: "Here’s what to do: 1. Derive reliable statistics for your historical win rate for each strategy or model you trade. 2. When setting up a trade, plug the planned RR of that trade, and your historical probability of profiting / win rate with that model into the Kelly formula. 3. Adjust the resultant value (the raw Kelly proportion) by a fraction (e.g. multiply it by 0.25) for more conservative risk. 4. Multiply this fractional Kelly value by your total account value to get th
1:06
Thomas on Instagram: "Here’s what to do: 1. Derive reliable statistics for your historical win rate for each strategy or model you trade. 2. When setting up a trade, plug the planned RR of that trade, and your historical probability of profiting / win rate with that model into the Kelly formula. 3. Adjust the resultant value (the raw Kelly proportion) by a fraction (e.g. multiply it by 0.25) for more conservative risk. 4. Multiply this fractional Kelly value by your total account value to get th
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