Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well …

Dec 11, 2025 · Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral outcomes …

Oct 30, 2024 · Having looked at two of the most important issues in prediction, we can now get to the larger picture: Who will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? Decision Desk HQ is the leading …

Sep 22, 2024 · Allan Lichtman told USA TODAY his 2024 choice set off an "avalanche." Here's why he thinks Americans love political predictions.

Browse all Politics prediction markets on Polymarket

Breaking down the Best Prediction Markets in December 2025 for users looking to trade on Politics, Financials, and other popular markets.

Find the latest odds and predictions for Politics events on Kalshi.

5 days ago · Coinbase rolls out US prediction markets via Kalshi, enabling $1 trades on politics, sports, collectibles, and events within its platform.

6 days ago · AmericaFest attendees predict a 2028 presidential showdown between JD Vance and Josh Shapiro, potentially reshaping Rust Belt politics for the future.

In this article, we build a model to predict the state-level results of the 2024 election. We do so by using both polling from similar points in past election cycles and the results of the previous election. …