NOAA is rolling out an experimental tool to help emergency planners predict extreme rain events in 60 cities, including Philadelphia and Dover, Delaware.

For decades, physicists have been stuck between two frameworks that each work brilliantly but refuse to reconcile. A new ...

High volume and short-term markets that ask simple questions with clear resolution rules — that's the formula Evercore ISI ...

When Andrew needed money for a flight with friends to Greece this summer, the 18-year-old high school senior turned to prediction markets.

Prediction market trading volume has risen from under $5 billion monthly in mid 2025 to nearly $24 billion in April 2026, ...

The new open-source atlas, generated by an AI tool called ESMFold2, vastly increases the known protein universe.

My wagers were all placed on a prediction market site called Polymarket. Polymarket is sort of like the Nasdaq or the New ...

Creating perfect randomness is surprisingly difficult. Even modern random number generators never generate completely ideal ...

A surprisingly easy way to multiply an AI model’s profit is to drive decisions via expected value instead of predictive scores. Here's how, illustrated with fraud detection.

Three mathematicians have laid out proof that solves a long-standing problem in mathematics. Even the mathematician—an Abel ...

Minnesota's prediction market ban tests Kalshi, Polymarket, CFTC rules, state gambling laws, and user risk for 2026.

Scientists spotted patterns hours before a major solar flare, a discovery that could help forecast dangerous eruptions.