Discover how coincident indicators reflect current economic conditions, their role in analyzing business cycles, and their impact on understanding economic trends.

According to the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator, we are already in a recession. The Sahm Rule signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate ...

During raging bull markets, exuberance about the market can detach from the underlying economic fundamentals. Corporate earnings growth, which correlates with economic indicators like the ISM ...

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses ...

The "lipstick index" refers to the idea that when times are tough financially, consumers turn to small, inexpensive luxuries like lipstick instead of pricier items. The term was first introduced by ...

Financial markets experienced dramatic shifts on a striking Monday that left investors uneasy. An abrupt technological stock downturn set off warning signals in key financial indicators. The ...

On this episode of The Long View, Dr. Paul Ashworth, who serves as Chief North America Economist at Capital Economics, discusses the challenges in economic forecasting, what indicators he’s paying ...

Online dating traffic, cardboard box production and movie success offer insights into consumer behavior and economic health. The combined occurrence of informal indicators can highlight broader ...