Discover how coincident indicators reflect current economic conditions, their role in analyzing business cycles, and their impact on understanding economic trends.

This series goes beyond the headlines to reveal what labor market data really says about equity, opportunity, and who the ...

During raging bull markets, exuberance about the market can detach from the underlying economic fundamentals. Corporate earnings growth, which correlates with economic indicators like the ISM ...

Discover six key indicators of economic recovery, including employment growth, consumer spending, and business activity. Stay informed to make smarter financial decisions.

According to the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator, we are already in a recession. The Sahm Rule signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate ...

On this episode of The Long View, Dr. Paul Ashworth, who serves as Chief North America Economist at Capital Economics, discusses the challenges in economic forecasting, what indicators he’s paying ...

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses ...

Economists use a variety of tools and data to predict how well or poorly the economy will do in the near-term. Experts can analyze figures like the gross domestic product (GDP), unemployment rates, ...

Financial markets experienced dramatic shifts on a striking Monday that left investors uneasy. An abrupt technological stock downturn set off warning signals in key financial indicators. The ...

Fears of a recession are back on investors’ minds. But predicting the onset of an economic downturn, let alone the length and severity of one, is difficult even for the experts. As a rule of thumb, ...

The "lipstick index" refers to the idea that when times are tough financially, consumers turn to small, inexpensive luxuries like lipstick instead of pricier items. The term was first introduced by ...